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WHY OPPOSITION DISUNITY MAY RETURN TINUBU TO POWER. By: Nworisa Michael

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If you’ve followed me long enough, you’ll know I have consistently spoken strongly against President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration. Some people may not like hearing this, but I do not speak for entertainment, I speak from conviction and observation.

Like millions of Nigerians, I am deeply frustrated about the state of the nation. Perhaps even more because I pay close attention to governance and political developments almost daily, following them with the same intensity passionate football lovers follow their clubs.

So when the opposition coalition conversations began, I felt relief. I felt hope. For the first time in a while, it looked like Nigeria might finally witness a truly united front strong enough to challenge the current administration.

But that hope slowly faded the moment the coalition fragmented into different camps.

What many Nigerians are now watching looks dangerously similar to the same mistakes of 2023: divided opposition, scattered votes, parallel ambitions, and eventually one major beneficiary President Tinubu.

Some people believe an alliance between H.E Mr. Peter Obi and Sen. Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso  can still change everything. Mathematically, it sounds attractive. But politics is not won by arithmetic alone.

Peter Obi’s rise became powerful because many Nigerians, especially in parts of the South-East and among young people across regions, saw him as a symbol against exclusion, old political dominance, and sectional politics.

He remains a strong and respected candidate.

But without a broad and truly united opposition, defeating a sitting government with all the advantages of incumbency becomes extremely difficult.

And while many supporters believe Sen. Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso can help market Obi strongly across the North, I honestly do not think that assumption reflects the political reality on ground as much as people imagine.

Personally, I do not want a candidacy built around tribal balancing or religious calculations. I want a candidacy that makes Nigerians genuinely feel Nigerian first before tribe or region.

And if the conversation is about a politician from the South-East who has genuinely crossed regional and political boundaries nationally, then there is one name many people intentionally avoid mentioning.

A politician whose political relationships cut across the North, South, East, and West. A politician who built bridges long before coalition politics became fashionable.

Ironically, even Sen. Kwankwaso himself would think twice before underestimating his reach.

He may not be making the loudest noise today. He may not dominate online conversations daily. But he sits quietly, calculating, observing, and waiting for the right political moment.

Do not be surprised if he becomes President before H.E Peter Obi.

Because unlike many politicians who depend heavily on regional emotional movements, he is naturally marketable across different parts of Nigeria on his own political strength.

That man is Senator Rochas Okorocha 

Nworisa Michael is the coordinator,  Inter-tribe Community Support Forum and writes from nworisamichael1917@gmail.com

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